Question #1 on the new investment return calculator — What does the Return Predictor do? The Return Predictor tells you what sort of long-term return you can realistically […]
Return Predictor
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Calculator Shows Effect of Stock Valuation in Predicting Stock Returns
The Stock-Return Predictor reveals the effect of the stock valuation level that applies at the time of a stock purchase on long-term returns. This new calculator tells you […]
Return Predictor
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The Famous Robert Shiller Stock-Market Prediction
Will Robert Shiller be proven wrong about the famous stock-market prediction he made in 1996? Or will be be proven right? There was a recent thread at the […]
Return Predictor
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Community Comments on Predicting Stock Returns
The thread on The Stock-Return Predictor at the Vanguard Diehards board is the second-longest (over 650 posts) in the history of that forum. Set forth below are snippets […]
Return Predictor
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The Experts Speak on the Effect of Valuations on Long-Term Returns
Investing Expert #1 — Jack Bogle (Vanguard Founder) on the Effect of Valuations on Long-Term Returns “This analysis takes into account my conviction both that the performance of […]
Return Predictor
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What’s Wrong (and Right) with Using Historical Stock Data to Predict Returns
Problem #1 with Using Historical Stock Data to Predict Returns — The Future Might Not Be Like the Past. The Stock-Return Predictor does not really predict anything. It […]
Return Predictor
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Benefits of Using the Historical Return Data for Predicting Stock Returns
Benefit #1 of using historical return data for predicting stock returns — it permits you to know whether stocks are worth buying at the price they are being […]